But instead of stopping its development, Altman said "society and the developers of AGI have to figure out how to get it right. And now its like every morning my kid is on FaceTime with his grandparents. Im not saying anything is mono-causal. 100%. If it doesnt happen in 20 years, Ill talk about a bunch of little technical things that could go wrong. You say that the rallying cry for this generation should be a Moores law for everything. No one, as California residents, none of us benefit from having fantastic companies move out of the state. ", "I try not to think about it too much," Altman told the founders in 2016. and just say can we look at an example of a collision of technology, and policy, and politics, and public perception, and economics, and a whole bunch of other things, too, and see where we got the governance wrong, we dont need to make up examples for this. I dont think were going to find an optimal. Have you tried our newest instruction following model by chance? There are times when technology just upends society. "It felt like someone had opened up a great big box full of all kinds of kids and let them out into the world. [12] In February 2014, Altman was named president of YCombinator by its co-founder, Paul Graham. Mark Andreessen, cofounder of venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz, said, "Under Sam, the level of YC's ambition has gone up 10x." Altman once told two YC founders that he likes racing cars and had five, including two McLarens and an old Tesla. He also said he likes renting planes and flying them all over California. The McLaren 720S. And it certainly doesnt seem to be slowing down. And I love that. revolution, the business models these systems will use (and the dangers of those business models), how A.I. I think theres been a mini-boom in new real estate startups as people in the pandemic have thought about leaving the big cities, where people can realize, wow, I can build a new house in some other city for not that much money and I can get exactly what I want. And so getting the money right is going to be crucial to getting the status right, which is why the redistribution questions are really, really important. That is a real shame. So youre like, I need a contract that says this. [30], Altman is the CEO of OpenAI, which is a capped-profit research company whose goal is to advance artificial intelligence in a way that is most likely to benefit humanity as a whole, rather than cause harm. Is This How a Cold War With China Begins? I think that if we cant get the politics and the policy right, it will face a lot of headwinds. I think [expensive housing is] one of our great threats as a state, as a prosperous state. [20], Altman was named the top investor under 30 by Forbes magazine in 2015,[21] one of the "Best Young Entrepreneurs in Technology" by Businessweek magazine in 2008[22] and listed as one of the five most interesting startup founders between 1979 and 2009 by his colleague Paul Graham.[23]. I wouldnt say that the people who run major technology companies are heavily anti-tax. So I think there is no future that doesnt have these systems in it. Thats part of the governance question. In three weeks, youre going to be living in a different world and you need to listen to me on this. But Ive become friendlier in the past couple of years to the idea that it will destroy a lot of jobs pretty quickly. What I think is that there is a probability it is true that I cannot quite assess. StartupTalky is top startup media platform for latest startup news, ideas, industry research and reports, inspiring startup stories. But I think what we can say is that we are on an exponential curve. ", In a thread on Twitter, Altman said he was "voting against Trump because I believe the principles he stands for represent an unacceptable threat to America. I do understand where people are coming from. Photo courtesy California High-Speed Rail Authority, How this 39-year-old earns $26,000 a year in California. And so one of the questions I dont really know how to answer is does A.I., whether or not it is being used with doctors and nurses or otherwise, does it actually change radically the development of drugs, the device orientation and devices were able to use? I think one of the big promises of A.I. But I think a lot of these things really come down to, A, do you believe that a sense of self exists at all or is everything just like theres this body, and theres this brain, and theres energy flowing through a neural network in your head like there could be in a computer. But what caught my eye about this essay, Moores Law for Everything, is Altmans effort to try and imagine the political consequences of true artificial intelligence and the policies that could decide whether it ushers in utopia or dystopia. I think its actually a small part of the solution. And you can see when something doesnt go the way they think its going to go and then they update. And if we take all the speculation out of something like A.I. Theyre all about the development of a super powerful A.I. One of the worries I have about this is that even if people want to be very cautious about what the incentives of it are, that just in order to do it, you have to submit to those incentives. Those three are big. Sam Altman co-chaired OpenAI with Elon Musk. And if we had not gotten that technology right, we would just be in a continued mess here. Which is very different from saying billionaires shouldnt be taxed. Im partially doing these shows for this reason that its just not something that I think is enough part of the political conversation. One is that Im happy to pay taxes, I just wish they were better spent. His argument is this: Since the 1970s, computers have gotten exponentially better even as theyre gotten cheaper, a phenomenon known as Moores Law. And lets not stop. You also ask lawyers questions because if you dont get the answers from them, you might get sued. I think wealth is definitely an imperfect metric. Why try to make it generally intelligent at all? Easing California's housing problem is only one of Altman's 10-point agenda for the state. But I also think I havent talked to Elon about this, but I know him well enough that I would bet that his bigger reason was just an increasing unfriendliness in California towards his businesses and a real disagreement with how they were handling his companys ability to be successful. But if we can have an Ezra, thats pretty great. And given the way weve named things after people forever I mean, go to a sports stadium around this country I didnt even really care that it got named after him. I dont think theres any great books about A.I., but there are good short stories. Some people get better entertainment and whatever, but they never get back the dignity, they never get back the money they were making. So thats the kind of pressure where I think things can change super quickly. So theres a question of how much money people can make and theres a question of how money gets made. Theyre like, well, I can allocate the capitol better than the government can to still help people. We cant have 50% of our GDP going to health care. And these people who will then have so much more power, theyre going to offer themselves up for more taxation? And so that becomes a question of to what degree are people comfortable with it. Its come down every time weve raised more money. An 85-year Harvard study found the No. Were starting to experiment with offering that to our customers now. AGI in this context stands for artificial general intelligence. And then once we have that, however imperfect it is, if you apply it to bigger and bigger systems with more and more computing resources, theres no obvious upper limit. If you gave me the wand, I could work with five tax experts and figure it out. And I think thats a pretty big issue. @bio_bootloader. Some jobs it just makes much better. He serves as the CEO of OpenAI and the former president of Y Combinator. Sam Altman website. And when youre on an exponential curve, you should generally, in my opinion, take the assumption that its going to keep going. This abandoned high school was converted into a 31-unit apartment building, well-paid professionals to cover their expenses, ranking of the worst traffic congestion in the United States, This former minister expects to make $22 million next year selling marijuana, Fired engineer on being a conservative at Google: 'Really, it's like being gay in the 1950s', Mark Zuckerberg shared epic total eclipse photos taken from atop Facebook's Oregon data center. There is no upper bound how far that can go as you think about increasing the size and scale. And I mean, my worry I dont think there should be a trillionaire. The field of entrepreneurship is more of a roller coaster ride with various personalities and stories. I mean, it is more important than the marginal tax rate on high income. Theres others who would say quite the opposite, which is that there will never be a sense of self in a there is a self. But if you say its also important that we talk about 20, 30, 40, 50 years from now when we have these systems that are way more capable than any human leaving from Earth to go off and explore, and colonize the universe, and figuring out what the role for humans are and how we want to set up that society, you get a real eyes glazed over look and sort of slowly back away from. In 2019 Sam held a Altman invested 75% of that moneyinto YC companies, and led Reddit's Series B fundraising round. So in this piece, you make an argument about how itll change the distribution of money and how could you tax around that. The technological progress we make in the next 100 years will be far larger than all weve made since we first controlled fire and invented the wheel, writes Sam Altman in his essay Moores Law for Everything. This revolution will generate enough wealth for everyone to have what they need, if we as a society manage it responsibly.. 475 ELK LAKE RESORT RD STE 24, OWENTON, KY, 40359. And I dont know the answer to any of that. So last year, OpenAI released something called GPT-3. I dont think they did a crazy good or a crazy bad job on this one, but I do think theyve done a crazy bad job on a lot of other medical innovations that could have saved a lot of lives where something has gone wrong in terms of our risk tolerance for those. changes the economy or changes peoples lives without using the word A.I.? Look, remote work certainly does not work for everything and its not something that Im personally excited to do. The technical path that I think currently think is most likely to get us to one of these AGI-like systems is one where you dont have tons of copies of agents. And if that probability is significant, and I think it at least is for the economic side of this I dont know about the space colonization side or on what time frame then its important. During the COVID-19 pandemic, Sam helped fund and create Project Covalence which aimed to help researchers rapidly launch clinical trials in partnership with TrialSpark a clinical trial startup. But I think something going on in California in the relationship between the state and the technology companies that are centered here, and something thats not going to be good for either side, is that as the increase in wealth inequality here rises, the sentiment changes. Viruses. It is not a surprise that Sam Altman is known for being a successful investor. [LAUGHS]. How should I feel about the idea these will be privately owned if theyre going to be this powerful? It is one thing to say you can have an A.I. Its amazing to me. He believes he is bringing a world into existence that is really, really different than the one you and I know and that its going to happen fast. The question of how do you distribute dignity and status in that society . I can still imagine it working on its own in some cases. is going to move all this power from labor to capital and it can transform humanity way for the better or not. And I can now do it quickly with technology, surprisingly affordably, and maybe a competitive market will do its thing here. One is that phenomenal wealth can get generated, because goods and services can become so cheap and so widely deployed that very rapid social change follows that because youre just undergoing an extraordinary upheaval in the economy. And who knows, maybe hes right. We have terrible schools, terrible roads, traffic. And you take that base model and then with just a little bit of extra training and data, you push it in one direction or the other. And you say anything other than its really important that we remain competitive with China and its really important that we have fair, transparent, unbiased systems. Since 2014, Altman has been the President of Y Combinator, which has funded top-tier tech companies including Airbnb, reddit and Dropbox. He was the one who announced the return of Steve Huffman as the CEO of Reddit on July 10, 2015. So its the . Sorry, something went wrong. If you dont spend a lot of time in the A.I. systems, in particular, you do not want an incentive to maximize profit indefinitely. I dont even know if what youre telling me is true, right? He attended John Burroughs School for high school and studied computer science at Stanford University until dropping out in 2005. I think weve released something like that just quite recently where you can say, heres what I want you to do and it will do it. Theres no obvious upper bound to that process. $ 26,000 a year in California think about increasing the size and scale High-Speed Rail Authority, this. 'S Series B fundraising round think that if we take all the speculation out of something like A.I?... 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